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Nvidia’s Record Quarter Puts AI Spending Back in Focus

A Record Quarter Tests the Staying Power of the AI Boom February 26, 2026
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Changes in the Market are on display AI spending powers ahead as chip demand drives markets higher.

Good Morning,

Nvidia posted a record quarter, easing fears that AI spending might be slowing. We break down what the company reported, why it steadied sentiment across tech, and where export controls and rich valuations could still create pressure. If you’re indexed to the S&P or concentrated in AI leaders, this is the story to watch

Binance faces Senate scrutiny over alleged sanctioned transactions, Germany confronts slowing exports and rising populism amid economic strain, and Egypt secures $2.3B in IMF funding as reforms stabilize inflation but regional risks persist.

Don't forget to voice your opinion in my polls below.

Here are your Morning Bullets.

– Truly yours, Fred Frost


🔭 What to Watch Today

Today’s calendar brings critical economic data and corporate updates that could sway markets. Keep an eye on these events as they unfold for potential volatility or confirmation of ongoing trends.

  • Federal Reserve Speakers: Multiple Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, are set to speak, offering clues on inflation and labor market outlooks for 2026. → MarketWatch
  • Consumer Confidence Data: February’s consumer confidence report drops today, critical after a six-month decline, potentially signaling shifts in spending amid tariff concerns. → CNBC
  • Earnings from Key Biotech Firms: Post-market earnings from firms like Novavax (NVAX) follow yesterday’s positive Q4 surprise, with investors watching for sustained sector momentum. → StockTwits

  • 📉 Daily Performance Snapshot

    Index/Asset Closing Value Change
    S&P 500 6,946.13 +56.06 (+0.81%)
    Nasdaq 23,152.08 +288.40 (+1.26%)
    Dow Jones 49,482.15 +307.65 (+0.63%)
    Gold 5,182.26 -43.94 (-0.84%)
    Crude Oil 64.32 -1.10 (-1.68%)
    Bitcoin 67,832.00 +1,483.00 (+2.24%)
    10-yr Treasury Yield 4.04% -0.009 (-0.22%)

    🔭 What to Watch Today

    Today’s calendar brings critical economic data and corporate updates that could sway markets. Keep an eye on these events as they unfold for potential volatility or confirmation of ongoing trends.

  • Federal Reserve Speakers: Multiple Fed officials, including Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, are set to speak, offering clues on inflation and labor market outlooks for 2026. → MarketWatch
  • Consumer Confidence Data: February’s consumer confidence report drops today, critical after a six-month decline, potentially signaling shifts in spending amid tariff concerns. → CNBC
  • Earnings from Key Biotech Firms: Post-market earnings from firms like Novavax (NVAX) follow yesterday’s positive Q4 surprise, with investors watching for sustained sector momentum. → StockTwits

  • 💡 Opportunity Watch

    Amidst market noise, a few sectors and themes stand out as potential winners. These opportunities tie into recent earnings strength and macro shifts—worth a closer look for your portfolio.

    • AI Hardware (Nvidia and Beyond): Nvidia’s $78 billion Q1 2027 guidance underscores insatiable AI demand; related chip and infrastructure plays could ride this wave. → StockTwits
    • Crypto Institutional Plays (STS Digital): STS Digital’s $30 million raise signals growing institutional appetite for crypto options trading, a niche to monitor as Bitcoin holds above $68,000. → Fortune
    • European Stablecoin Ventures: Qivalis, backed by major EU banks, aims for a 2026 launch of a euro stablecoin, offering a regulated digital finance play against U.S.-centric assets. → Global Finance

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    The Big Bullet

    Nvidia posted a record quarter, keeping the AI spending story alive

    What happened: Nvidia reported a strong quarter that it called a record, with results that pointed to heavy demand for AI computing power. Nvidia’s record quarter and what it signals for CFOs framed it as a new benchmark for how much companies are willing to spend on “compute.” Before the market opened, investors watched the stock closely as the numbers settled in. Coverage of the market’s reaction to Nvidia’s earnings showed the early moves across Nvidia and other big names. The key takeaway was that AI-related demand did not cool off in the latest report. Traders also compared Nvidia’s results to other earnings releases happening the same day. The news landed during a period when markets have been sensitive to any sign of slowing growth. Overall, the report added fresh data to the debate about whether the AI boom is still speeding up or starting to level out.


    Why it matters: Nvidia’s results matter because the company sits near the center of AI hardware spending, and many large tech firms rely on its chips. When Nvidia beats expectations, it can lift confidence in the broader tech sector, especially companies tied to data centers and cloud services. After the report, markets looked steadier as Nvidia’s earnings eased some AI worries, showing how one company’s numbers can influence sentiment. But not everyone is fully convinced, and one bearish Nvidia analyst highlighted risks investors are still weighing after the release. For retail investors, this is a reminder that a hot theme can still swing sharply on guidance and expectations. It also affects index funds, since mega-cap tech can move big market benchmarks. If AI spending stays strong, it may support earnings across parts of the tech supply chain. If it slows, expensive valuations could come under pressure quickly.

    What’s next: Investors will watch how Nvidia’s stock trades after the first full day of price discovery, not just the premarket moves. The next step is how other companies in the AI ecosystem respond, including firms that buy large amounts of computing power. Daily market focus will also stay on which stocks are moving most around this news, like in the list of the biggest premarket movers. Another near-term issue is geopolitics and sales limits, especially after reporting on Nvidia’s China chip sales and export-control pressures. If overseas sales stay uncertain, investors may adjust their expectations for future growth. Watch for follow-up commentary from major customers about their AI budgets and timing. Keep an eye on whether competitors gain ground if supply or policy limits Nvidia’s reach. Finally, the market’s reaction will depend on whether future guidance continues to confirm strong demand instead of one-time strength.

    Reader Feedback

    Last time, I asked you: Who do you think is most at fault if AI models are being copied?

    The majority of you at 28% said "U.S. tech companies for not protecting their models better"

    Nicole from South Carolina replied: “I think U.S. tech companies are most at fault because they should have done a better job protecting their AI models.”

    Here's what I'm asking you today:

    After Nvidia’s strong earnings, what do you think happens next for AI stocks?

    Login or Subscribe to participate

    As always if your opinion is not here, or you want to throw your two cents at me, reply to the E-mail, and let me know your exact thoughts.


    🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

    • Binance Under Senate Scrutiny: Senator Blumenthal launches an inquiry into Binance over $1 billion in transactions tied to sanctioned Iranian entities, spotlighting crypto regulatory risks. → Fortune
    • German Economic Malaise: Germany grapples with export declines and rising populism, prompting a reevaluation of its postwar economic miracle amid competitive pressures from China. → World Finance
    • Egypt Secures IMF Funds: IMF releases $2.3 billion to Egypt after reforms cut inflation to 11.9%, though regional conflicts still threaten Suez Canal revenue and stability. → ABC News

    📜 This Day in History – February 26

    February 26 is a reminder that quiet structural shifts often matter most — new communication channels open, scientific institutions take root, data becomes a commodity, and cities gain the mobility tools that define urban life.

    Vintage electrical telegraph apparatus with brass keys, coils, and paper tape, no people or text

    1837 – The first working electric telegraph was demonstrated in London, shrinking geographic distance and setting the template for every communication network that followed.

    1803 – The U.S. Congress approved expanding the Library of Congress, reinforcing the idea that national power depends on organized, accessible knowledge.

    1973 – The original World Trade Center complex was completed, symbolizing a new era in global finance, vertical urbanism, and interconnected markets.

    1819 – The “Draisienne,” an early predecessor to the modern bicycle, was patented in the U.S., a simple mobility innovation that foreshadowed personal transport as we know it.

    77% of you chose the right answer to our previous trivia question: Which of the following would most likely increase inflation in the short term?


    We generate fears while we sit. We overcome them by action.
    – Dr. Henry Link
    Thanks for Reading.

    Stay Sharp. Stay Focused.
    Fredrick Frost
    Editor, MorningBullets

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