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Tesla Sales Slip After EV Tax Credits Expire

EV Demand Weakens as Government Incentives Fade December 12, 2025
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Changes in the Market are on display An electric vehicle charges as federal tax incentives for EV buyers expire in the U.S.

Good Morning,

Markets are brushing record highs, but not every corner is keeping pace. While big tech steadies and policy risks ease, cracks are showing in parts of the growth trade once powered by government support. We break down where demand is cooling, what changed beneath the surface, and why one high-profile company’s latest data is drawing closer scrutiny from investors.

Treasury Secretary Bessent pushes for deregulatory reforms that could reshape financial oversight, the Labor Department defends the H-1B visa program while cracking down on abuse through 'Project Firewall,' and Fed Chair Powell acknowledges the central bank’s limited ability to address the housing shortage, leaving pressure on policymakers and homebuilder stocks.

Don't forget to voice your opinion in my polls below.

Here are your Morning Bullets.

– Truly yours, Fred Frost


📉 Yesterday's Market Recap

Yesterday was a tale of two markets: the Dow Jones surged 650 points to a record high, the S&P 500 eked out its own all-time close, but the Nasdaq stumbled on a tech slump led by Oracle’s disappointing earnings. A day after the Fed’s rate cut, sentiment seems split—bullish on traditional sectors, cautious on growth stocks. Here’s what moved the needles.


  • Dow’s Record Rally: A 650-point surge pushed the Dow to a new high, fueled by optimism post-Fed rate cut and strength in industrial and financial stocks. → MarketWatch

  • S&P 500 Edges Up: The broader index also notched a record close, though gains were modest as investors weighed mixed sector performance. → CNBC

  • Nasdaq Slips on Tech Woes: Oracle’s earnings miss sparked a sell-off in tech, dragging the Nasdaq lower and stoking fears of an AI bubble. → StockTwits


📈 Daily Performance Snapshot

Index/Asset Closing Value Change
S&P 500 6,901.00 +0.20%
Nasdaq 23,593.86 -0.30%
Dow Jones 48,704.01 +1.30%
Gold $4,305.00 +2.00%
Crude Oil $57.80 -1.20%
Bitcoin $92,384 +2.62%
10-yr Treasury Yield 4.151% -0.31%

🔭 What to Watch Today

Today’s docket has a few key events that could nudge markets or shift sentiment. From earnings releases to policy ripples, keep your eyes peeled for these potential catalysts.

  • Lennar Q4 Earnings: Lennar (LEN) reports next week, but pre-earnings buzz is already cautious with analysts slashing EPS forecasts to $2.18 from $4.03 last year. A miss could pressure housing stocks. → Benzinga
  • EU Decision on Russia’s Frozen Assets: The EU is set to vote today on locking up 210 billion euros of Russian assets, a move that could fund Ukraine aid but risks pushback from Hungary and Slovakia. → ABC News
  • Consumer Sentiment Data: Preliminary December consumer sentiment numbers are due—any sign of holiday spending weakness could temper the recent rate-cut optimism. → AP News

  • 💡 Opportunity Watch

    Amid the market highs and policy noise, a few under-the-radar plays are worth a closer look. These trends and stocks could offer upside for those willing to dig deeper—let’s explore.

    • Devon Energy (DVN): Upgraded to ‘Buy’ by UBS with a $46 target, DVN’s debt reduction and cost-saving moves position it well for a stronger oil outlook in 2026. → StockTwits
    • West Palm Beach Boom: This Florida hub is morphing into a business magnet with 140+ companies relocating—real estate and regional ETFs could see tailwinds from this growth. → Fox Business
    • British American Tobacco (BTI): With a 5.1% dividend yield and £1.3 billion in planned buybacks for 2026, BTI offers value despite headwinds in vapor products. → Seeking Alpha

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    🔥 The Big Bullet

    Tesla Sales Dip After EV Tax Credit Expiration

    What happened: Tesla’s U.S. vehicle sales dropped sharply in November. The drop came soon after the federal electric vehicle (EV) tax credit expired. This tax credit had helped reduce prices and boost demand for many EVs, including Tesla’s. Without it, prices feel higher for buyers, and demand appears to be cooling. According to some reports, this decline was expected, but it still shows how much the market depends on government support. The timing is tough for Tesla, as competition from other EV makers continues to rise. Tesla has also been facing questions about its pricing strategy and production plans. Investors are now watching for more signs of slowing sales into the next quarter.


    Why it matters: This slump raises concerns about how strong EV demand really is without incentives. For many buyers, tax credits made EVs affordable. Now, without them, Tesla could lose ground to cheaper brands or traditional gas-powered vehicles. This could also affect the broader EV industry, which has relied on subsidies to grow. Tesla’s market value depends on big growth, so slower sales may cause pressure on its stock. Other carmakers like Ford and GM are watching this closely. If they see the same trend, they may slow their EV rollout plans. The shift also highlights how sensitive green technology adoption is to policy changes, making future growth less certain. Broader market indexes are reacting as tech-related growth stocks take hits.

    What’s next: Investors should watch for December and January delivery numbers. If sales stay low, Tesla might have to lower prices again or offer its own incentives. Policymakers may also face pressure to bring back EV credits or find new ways to support clean cars. Tesla’s next earnings call could bring updates on margins and delivery targets. The company may also shift focus to international sales where subsidies still exist. Meanwhile, competitors like Hyundai and BYD are gaining ground. If this trend spreads beyond Tesla, it could slow the whole EV sector. The next few months will be key to seeing whether this is a short-term dip or the start of a tougher road ahead for electric vehicles.


    Reader Feedback

    Yesterday, I asked you: What do you think is the real problem when AI investments don’t pay off right away?

    The majority of you at 53% said "Investors expect profits too fast”

    DLauren from Pennsylvania replied: "I think the problem is that investors want to make money too fast instead of giving AI time to grow."

    Here's what I'm asking you today:

    Who do you think is most responsible for weaker EV sales right now?

    Login or Subscribe to participate

    As always if your opinion is not here, or you want to throw your two cents at me, reply to the E-mail, and let me know your exact thoughts.



    🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

    • H-1B Visa Program Stays: Labor Secretary Chavez-DeRemer rules out scrapping H-1B visas despite MAGA calls, citing legal limits, while launching ‘Project Firewall’ to curb abuses. → Daily Signal
    • Housing Shortage Woes: Fed Chair Powell admits the central bank lacks tools to fix the structural housing shortage, keeping affordability pressures high—mixed signals for homebuilder stocks. → Seeking Alpha



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    📜 This Day in History – December 12

    December 12 has a networked feel, money systems, constitutions, and communications all getting more scalable. Today’s theme is simple: when coordination gets cheaper, history gets faster.

    Early wireless radio receiver setup for Marconi’s transatlantic signal

    1901 – Guglielmo Marconi received the first transatlantic wireless radio signal, a proof that information could travel globally without laying a single mile of cable — markets approve.

    1791 – The First Bank of the United States opened for business, an early attempt at national financial infrastructure when “stability” was still a startup feature.

    1787 – Pennsylvania became the second state to ratify the U.S. Constitution, helping turn a political experiment into a durable institutional platform for commerce.

    1963 – Kenya marked independence (now celebrated as Jamhuri Day), a nation-building milestone that re-centered institutions, investment priorities, and economic sovereignty.

    Yesterday, 65% of you chose the right answer to the trivia question: The regular rise and fall of economic activity over time


    It’s not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many generations you keep it for
    – Robert Kiyosaki
    Thanks for Reading.

    Stay Sharp. Stay Focused.
    Fredrick Frost
    Editor, MorningBullets

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