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Confusing Jobs & Inflation Data Shake Wall Street

Markets Tumble as Fed Signals Turn Fuzzy November 14, 2025
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Changes in the Market are on display Markets reel as traders confront confusing signals from jobs and inflation data, amplifying uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s next move.

Good Morning,

Markets are under pressure this morning as confusing U.S. jobs and inflation reports send mixed signals about the economy. We break down what the data got wrong, why it rattled Wall Street, and how shifting expectations for the next Fed move are shaping the trading day. If you’re exposed to rate‑sensitive sectors or riding this year’s tech rally, this one matters.

The UK abandons plans for an income tax hike, unsettling markets as gilt yields climb, Apple sees a 22% sales surge in China with the iPhone 17, and a little noticed U.S. amendment threatens to upend the $28B hemp industry by restricting synthetic cannabinoids.

Don't forget to voice your opinion in my polls below.

Here are your Morning Bullets.

– Truly yours, Fred Frost


📉 Yesterday's Market Recap

Markets stumbled yesterday as a broad sell off hit Wall Street, with the S&P 500 logging its worst day in over a month. Fading optimism post-shutdown and renewed fears of a cooling economy, coupled with dimming hopes for a December Fed rate cut, dragged sentiment down.



  • Tech Sentiment Sours: Retail investors on Stocktwits turned bearish on Apple, citing tech sector rotation risks. → Stocktwits

  • Energy Stocks Hit Lows: Oversold conditions in energy names like Sable Offshore (SOC) signal potential rebounds. → Benzinga


📉 Daily Performance Snapshot

Index/Asset Closing Value Change
S&P 500 6,737.49 -1.66%
Nasdaq 22,870.36 -2.29%
Dow Jones 47,457.22 -1.65%
Gold $4114.00 -1.92%
Crude Oil $59.52 +1.41%
Bitcoin $95,296 -7.61%
10-yr Treasury Yield 4.112% +1.16%

🔭 What to Watch Today

Today’s calendar isn’t packed, but a few key events could ripple through markets as investors reassess risk and policy direction. Keep your eyes on these developments.

  • Federal Reserve Commentary: Delayed economic data and Fed remarks could sway expectations for a December rate cut. → Seeking Alpha
  • Li Auto Earnings Preview: Ahead of its Q3 report on November 26, Li Auto’s global expansion news may hint at EV sector strength. → Benzinga
  • UK Fiscal Policy Fallout: Market reactions to Labour’s scrapped income tax hikes could pressure gilts and the pound further. → MoneyWeek

  • 💡 Opportunity Watch

    Amidst market turbulence, a few intriguing opportunities are emerging for savvy investors willing to look beyond the noise. Here’s what’s on my radar.

    • AI-Driven Data Centers (IREN): IREN’s $9.7B Microsoft deal positions it as a growth play in AI cloud computing. → Seeking Alpha
    • Energy Sector Bargains (SOC, BOOM): Oversold energy stocks like Sable Offshore and DMC Global could rebound with RSI below 30. → Benzinga
    • Silver Miners ETF (SLVP): Up 139% YTD, SLVP offers exposure to silver’s bullish outlook despite short-term volatility. → Seeking Alpha

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    🔥 The Big Bullet

    Jobs and Inflation Reports Spark Fresh Market Turmoil

    What happened: Wall Street took a hard hit after the latest jobs and inflation data were released. The reports, which were expected to offer clear signs about the economy, instead delivered confusion. Job numbers looked better than expected, but inflation showed signs of sticking around. This mix of signals threw off predictions for what the Federal Reserve will do next. Investors, who were hoping for a steady path forward, got nervous. Stocks tumbled across the board. Volatility jumped as traders scrambled to understand what the data meant. The market selloff wasn’t just a fluke—it accelerated as more investors reacted. Analysts warned that more bumps could be ahead if this uncertainty sticks around.


    Why it matters: When jobs grow and inflation stays hot, it puts pressure on the Fed. That’s because the Fed might have to keep interest rates high to slow things down, which can hurt stocks and borrowing. Futures trading showed clear signs of rate cut jitters. Higher rates mean higher loan costs for consumers and businesses, which can slow spending and profits. This kind of market shake-up also affects retirement plans, home loans, and credit card interest. People watching the markets may feel uneasy when prices swing so fast. And when the Fed's next steps are uncertain, it can lead to overreactions. This latest round of data made things murky, not clearer. That kind of uncertainty is risky for investors big and small.

    What’s next: All eyes are now on the Fed’s next meeting. Investors are watching to see if central bankers hint at holding rates steady or cutting them soon. More economic data is coming in the next few weeks—especially around jobs and consumer prices. If those reports show the same mixed signals, market swings could keep happening. It’s also worth watching how businesses respond to borrowing costs and whether layoffs pick up. The Fed is likely to weigh all of this carefully before making a move. Until then, markets may stay volatile. Traders will be listening closely to any Fed speeches or comments in the coming days.


    Reader Feedback

    Yesterday I asked you: How worried are you about another government shutdown in January? The majority of you at 46% said "Very, this kind of chaos hurts the economy"

    Micheal from Colorado replied: "Loose band-aids only lead to more wounds."

    Here's what I'm asking you today:

    Who do you think is most to blame for the market chaos after the new jobs and inflation reports?

    Login or Subscribe to participate

    As always if your opinion is not here, or you want to throw your two cents at me, reply to the E-mail, and let me know your exact thoughts.


    🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

    • China’s iPhone 17 Boom: Apple sales surge 22% in China, bucking market trends despite slow AI adoption. → Benzinga
    • Hemp Industry Faces Ban: A hidden amendment in a spending bill threatens a $28B hemp market with synthetic cannabinoid restrictions. → Finance Monthly

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    📜 This Day in History – November 14

    November 14 rewards the ambitious — journalists, engineers, and broadcasters who pushed boundaries and ended up reshaping the infrastructure of information, exploration, and global culture.

    Nellie Bly’s around-the-world travel trunk and route map

    1889 – Journalist Nellie Bly began her 72-day trip around the world, demonstrating how emerging transport networks were shrinking markets, media cycles, and the planet itself.

    1922 – The BBC made its first official radio broadcast, setting the template for public media and the mass-market attention economy.

    1969 – NASA launched Apollo 12, refining the operational precision needed for lunar exploration and later commercial space ventures.

    1971 – NASA’s Mariner 9 became the first spacecraft to orbit another planet, marking a shift from flybys to long-form planetary observation — a foundation of modern space science.

    Yesterday, 72% of you chose the right answer to the trivia question: To promote free trade and resolve disputes between member nations


    Empty pockets never held anyone back. Only empty heads and empty hearts can do that.
    – Confucius
    Thanks for Reading.

    Stay Sharp. Stay Focused.
    Fredrick Frost
    Editor, MorningBullets

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