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10-Year Treasury Yield Falls Below 4%

Bond Rally Pushes Yields Lower: A Shift Toward Safety February 27, 2026
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Changes in the Market are on display A shift toward safety as Treasury yields fall below 4%.

Good Morning,

Markets are shifting tone as the 10-year Treasury yield slips below 4%, a level investors watch closely. Falling yields can signal a move toward safety, or concern about slower growth ahead. We break down what pushed rates lower, what it says about investor sentiment, and how it could affect stocks, borrowing costs, and your portfolio. If you’re indexed to the S&P or overweight in high-growth names, this is the one to read.

Ford’s battery talks with BYD spark U.S. security concerns, China eases yuan policy to manage currency strength, and the NYSE explores 24/7 tokenized trading that could reshape market liquidity.

Don't forget to voice your opinion in my polls below.

Here are your Morning Bullets.

– Truly yours, Fred Frost


📉 Yesterday's Market Recap

Yesterday, global markets painted a mixed picture with a tech-heavy undercurrent. U.S. indices took a hit as Nvidia’s 5.5% drop dragged the Nasdaq down 1.2%, despite blockbuster earnings, while Block’s 40% workforce cut raised eyebrows about AI’s cost to human capital. Across the pond, European and Asian markets largely held firm, with Tokyo’s Nikkei touching record highs—proof that not all boats sink in the same storm.


  • Nvidia’s Earnings High, Stock Low: Despite reporting $68.13B in Q4 revenue against a $66.21B forecast, Nvidia shares fell over 5% as investors fret over an AI bubble. → Benzinga

  • Block Cuts 4,000 Jobs: Jack Dorsey’s Block slashed 40% of its staff to pivot to AI-driven operations, sending shares up 24% in after-hours despite a 75% five-year decline. → Financial Samurai

  • Netflix Bounces Post-WBD Exit: Netflix shares jumped nearly 8% after ditching its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, avoiding a pricey bidding war with Paramount Skydance. → ABC News


📉 Daily Performance Snapshot

Index/Asset Closing Value Change
S&P 500 6,947.74 +0.84% ↑
Nasdaq 22,878.38 −1.18% ↓
Dow Jones 49,499.20 +0.03% ↑
Gold (per oz) 5,178.87 +0.40% ↑
Crude Oil (WTI) 65.63 +0.56% ↑
Bitcoin 67,338.73 +1.05% ↑
10-yr Treasury Yield 3.99% −0.02% ↓

🔭 What to Watch Today

Today’s calendar isn’t just about earnings—it’s about policy and geopolitics that could ripple through markets. Keep your radar on these developments for potential volatility or opportunity.

  • EU-Mercosur Trade Deal Rollout: The EU’s provisional implementation of the Mercosur deal could signal new trade dynamics, especially for agriculture and energy sectors. Watch for market reactions and protests from European farmers. → ABC News
  • Canadian PM in India for Trade Talks: Mark Carney’s visit to India aims to diversify Canadian trade away from U.S. reliance—expect updates on energy and tech partnerships that could influence North American markets. → News9live
  • U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Fallout: With no deal reached, oil prices ticked up to $66.10 for U.S. crude—monitor energy stocks for swings as geopolitical tensions simmer. → ABC News

  • 💡 Opportunity Watch

    Amidst the noise of layoffs and geopolitical maneuvers, a few sectors and stocks stand out as potential winners. Here’s where sharp investors might find an edge in the current landscape.

    • Amazon (AMZN) on AI Infrastructure: Bank of America raised its price target to $275, citing AWS’s capacity growth to 31.4 GW by 2027 as a revenue precursor—AI infrastructure could be a long-term play. → The Street
    • Digital Assets in Personal Finance: Blockchain and DeFi are reshaping wealth management—consider diversified exposure as advisors integrate crypto into mainstream portfolios. → Finance Monthly
    • Neurogene (NGNE) Gene Therapy: NGNE surged 25% on FDA Breakthrough designation for Rett syndrome treatment—a speculative biotech pick with a $200 price target from Canaccord. → Stocktwits

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    The Big Bullet

    Bond buying pushes the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%

    What happened: U.S. government bonds rallied, and the 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% for the first time since autumn. When bond prices rise, yields usually drop. This kind of move often happens when investors want safety or expect slower growth. It can also happen when traders think interest rates may fall later this year. Stocks reacted too, with investors watching which companies were moving the most. In early trading, several big names led the premarket action. The bond move was the main signal: money was flowing into safer assets. It was a clear shift in mood compared with periods when investors chase risk.


    Why it matters: The 10-year yield is a key “base rate” that influences many other rates, including borrowing costs for companies and households. When yields fall, it can ease pressure on things like corporate loans and new debt deals. It also changes how investors value stocks, especially companies whose profits are expected far in the future. That matters in a market where AI-linked stocks have been swinging sharply and CEOs are adjusting how they talk about AI. Lower yields can support stock prices, but they can also be a warning sign if the drop is driven by fear about the economy. Bond moves can also shift demand across funds, including popular ETFs, which is why some crowded strategies may not fit well inside an ETF wrapper. For conservative investors, big yield drops can be both a chance (better bond prices) and a caution (maybe slower growth ahead). The key is that rates set the “price of money,” and that price just moved lower. Markets often re-price quickly when that happens.

    What’s next: Watch whether the yield drop holds for more than a day or two, or if it snaps back fast. If yields keep sliding, investors may be signaling they expect slower growth or easier policy ahead. Stock traders will keep reacting to company news, especially firms tied to big themes like AI and cost cutting. For example, Block’s stock jumped after an AI-related job-cut headline, showing how quickly narratives can move prices. Earnings and guidance can also change the tone, and after-hours movers are still setting up the next day’s trading. If bonds keep rallying, defensive areas of the market may stay in favor. If yields rise again, it could mean investors are less worried or that inflation fears are returning. Either way, the next round of headlines could decide whether this rate move becomes a trend or just a brief scare.

    Reader Feedback

    Last time, I asked you: After Nvidia’s strong earnings, what do you think happens next for AI stocks?

    The majority of you at 46% said "AI stocks rise, but gains slow down ."

    Justin from Colorado replied: “I think AI stocks will keep going up, but not as fast as they were before.”

    Here's what I'm asking you today:

    The 10-year Treasury yield just fell below 4%. What do you think it means?

    Login or Subscribe to participate

    As always if your opinion is not here, or you want to throw your two cents at me, reply to the E-mail, and let me know your exact thoughts.


    🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

    • Ford-BYD Battery Talks: Ford’s potential deal with Chinese EV giant BYD for hybrid batteries has U.S. lawmakers crying foul over security risks—watch for fallout in auto and trade policy. → Global Finance Magazine
    • China’s Yuan Policy Shift: The PBOC scrapped reserve requirements on FX forwards to ease offshore yuan liquidity, a move to curb currency strength that could impact global trade balances. → Seeking Alpha
    • NYSE’s 24/7 Tokenized Trading: The NYSE is pushing a blockchain platform for round-the-clock trading and instant settlement—a game-changer for liquidity if regulators greenlight it. → GFMag

    📜 This Day in History – February 27

    February 27 highlights the mechanics behind modern systems — standardized devices, scientific breakthroughs, media networks, and urban infrastructure that quietly became the backbone of everyday life.

    Vintage nautical workshop with early iron anchors, chains, and forging tools, no people or text

    1817 – The modern stockless anchor was patented, a design improvement that standardized maritime equipment and supported the expanding global shipping economy.

    1874 – Darwin’s *The Descent of Man* received wide academic adoption, reinforcing evolutionary theory as a scientific framework rather than a speculative idea.

    1922 – The first commercial radio station license in the U.K. was issued, paving the way for regulated broadcast networks and eventually national media markets.

    1930 – Cities across Europe and North America adopted standardized motor-bus designs, reshaping urban mobility and transitioning public transit away from rails.

    81% of you chose the right answer to our previous trivia question: Which of the following would most likely increase inflation in the short term?


    Define success on your own terms, achieve it by your own rules, and build a life you’re proud to live.
    – Anne Sweeney
    Thanks for Reading.

    Stay Sharp. Stay Focused.
    Fredrick Frost
    Editor, MorningBullets

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