Trump Sends Missiles East—Markets Duck for Cover

Good morning, friends.

Missiles, metals, and monetary pressure—that’s your Monday trifecta. As tariffs ebb and global power plays surge, Wall Street finds itself at a geopolitical crossroads.

I'd also like to note, today marks the first Monday of a refreshed Morning Bullets, and I'm excited to share what's coming: You'll still get the same sharp politics-meets-investing insights, now delivered faster and tighter so you can grab takeaways and trade ideas in under five minutes.

We've refined the flow to highlight top moves, my quick-hit analysis, one deep theme, and actionable ammo—then wrapped it up with some nostalgia and a grin.

Let me know what you think: just hit reply or spend 30 seconds on our poll at the bottom of this E-Mail, and I'll share your feedback next Friday. Here's to smarter mornings and sharper returns.

And with that, here are your Morning Bullets.

– Truly yours, Fred Frost

📉 Yesterday’s Market Recap

Markets struggled to find footing as stimulus headlines clashed with tightening fears:

• Dow -0.4%, S&P -0.2%, Nasdaq -0.1% Traders braced for CPI, worried tariffs could yank the global rug → MarketWatch
• 10-year Treasury yield +9bps Rate hike hesitation returned as fiscal strain fears resurfaced → MarketWatch
• China exports +5.8% YoY Tariff timeout sent shipping docks into overdrive—don’t get used to it → Fortune
• Bitcoin hits $122,000 Crypto optimism surged as institutional flows lifted sentiment during “Crypto Week” → MarketWatch

📈 Daily Performance Snapshot

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🔭 What to Watch Today

Markets will either break or brace—thanks to data drops and Fed drama.

• CPI Report: Inflation numbers hit the wire. Could reset the Fed’s rate chessboard → MarketWatch
• Powell’s Testimony: Rumors swirl the Chair might walk. Watch how markets price instability → Fox Business
• EV Watch: Panasonic pledges to bring half its battery biz stateside by 2030—expect sparks in lithium and logistics. → Fortune

🔥 The Big Bullet

What happened: Trump dropped a Patriot payload—literally. Over the weekend, he announced that Ukraine will receive U.S. Patriot air defense munitions, but not on America’s dime. “They do need protection,” he said, blaming Putin for double-dealing diplomacy: “talks nice and then bombs everybody in the evening.” The European Union will foot the bill, according to Trump, who also hinted at deeper NATO involvement in the arms deal. This came just days after the Pentagon had paused missile shipments over stockpile concerns—until Trump reversed it..→ The Hill

Why it matters: Why it matters: Markets responded fast—defense stocks climbed as investors priced in fresh demand. With Trump once again dictating foreign aid terms, the spotlight’s back on NATO’s wallet and Washington’s weapons inventory. The Fed, meanwhile, is getting pulled deeper into the fiscal mess—rising yields signal that the bond market smells inflation, debt pressure, or both. Trump’s remarks also spotlight growing friction inside the defense establishment. One minute aid is paused, the next it’s unlocked—and nobody seems to know who made the first call.

What’s next: Expect lawmakers to press the Pentagon on what exactly happened—and why. The House Armed Services Committee is likely to dig into readiness levels, inventory risk, and the political whiplash around weapons policy. If the U.S. is handing out Patriots while pretending to conserve them, someone’s going to need a new briefing binder. Meanwhile, NATO’s next moves—and how much they’re willing to pay—will be under the microscope. Watch defense suppliers, foreign relations hawks, and bond traders closely.

Further Reading: 

→ Reuters

→ Fox News

💡 Opportunity Watch

Where geopolitics stirs the pot—investors sip the gains.

• Lockheed Martin (LMT): Secondhand surge? NATO allies will backfill their shelves—and Lockheed’s likely a beneficiary. → Seeking Alpha
• Albemarle Corp (ALB): As Panasonic looks local, U.S. lithium gets sexy. ALB may be your play on battery nationalism.→ Fortune

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🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

Big moves in Washington and overseas are reshaping defense, energy, and economic narratives—all with direct hits to your portfolio. Here’s what’s shaking the policy tree and rattling the market branches:

• Trump confirms missile aid to Ukraine: Patriot launchers inbound. So is defense spending. → The Hill
• Noem axes shipbuilding contract: Boosts exporters, pressures import-heavy names → Washington Examiner
• Panasonic doubles down on U.S. battery shift: Reshoring gains traction—miners and material stocks take note.→ Fortune

📜 This Day in History – July 14

• 1881 - American outlaw Billy the Kid was shot dead by the police
• 1951 – Ferrari secured its first Grand Prix victory at the 1951 British Grand Prix.
• 1968 – American baseball great Hank Aaron hit his 500th career home run.