Another Fed Cut Expected Today, but the Forecast Matters More

27 Builders. One Date. Your Q4 Crypto Plan.

Solana’s creator. Tether’s founder. THORChain’s architect. SOON they reveal the exact Q4 playbook: what to buy, when, and why.

List price $799. Your price: FREE, for a limited time.

By clicking the link above you agree to receive periodic updates from our sponsor.

Good Morning,

– Truly yours, Fred Frost

📉 Yesterday's Market Recap

Yesterday, markets closed with a mixed bag as investors held their breath ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. The Dow took a 0.4% hit, sliding to 47,560.29, while the S&P 500 stayed nearly flat at 6,840.51, and the Nasdaq eked out a 0.1% gain to 23,576.49. Under the surface, job openings data hinted at holiday prep, but layoff fears lingered.

• Dow Drops 0.4%: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 179.03 points, reflecting caution as the Fed’s two-day meeting kicked off. → MarketWatch


• Nasdaq Inches Up 0.1%: Tech held its ground with the Nasdaq gaining 30.58 points, buoyed by selective strength in AI-related names like Nvidia. → Seeking Alpha


• Treasury Yields Spike: Long-term Treasury yields hit 4.18%, their highest since September, stirring inflation worries among strategists. → CNBC

📈 Daily Performance Snapshot

🔭 What to Watch Today

Today’s calendar could sway markets with Fed chatter and corporate updates on the horizon. Keep your eyes on these events for potential ripples in equities and beyond.

💡 Opportunity Watch

Amidst market volatility, a few themes stand out for potential upside. These sectors and stocks are tied to recent economic and geopolitical shifts—worth a closer look for your portfolio.

• Silver (XAGUSD): With prices over $60 and industrial demand soaring from green tech, silver could see further gains if Fed cuts weaken the dollar more—analysts eye $65. → Finance Monthly
• CNH Industrial (CNH): CNH’s AI integration in ag-tech, like herbicide-reducing sprayers, positions it to capitalize on climate-driven farming needs—watch for ROI clarity in updates. → Fortune
• Vietnam Market Exposure (VNM): Vietnam’s rapid economic growth outpaces China, per Dragon Capital—consider ETFs like VNM for emerging market diversification as liberalization fuels gains. → MoneyWeek

🔥 The Big Bullet

Fed Set to Cut Rates Again as Markets Brace for the Call

What happened: The Federal Reserve is expected to announce another interest-rate cut today, which would be its third straight reduction this year. Many investors think the Fed will lower rates by a small step, likely 0.25 percentage points, based on recent signals and market pricing. In a preview, the Fed decision is expected to include a rate cut and updated guidance about how officials see the economy. Another report says the move is not mainly about boosting growth, but about keeping the job market from weakening too fast. the cut may act like an “insurance policy” for employment rather than a big push for spending. Traders have been watching inflation, hiring, and wage trends leading into the meeting. Stocks and bonds were relatively steady ahead of the announcement, showing investors feel confident about a cut. The Fed will also release new projections and hold a press conference after the decision.

Why it matters: Rate cuts can lower borrowing costs for households and companies, which often supports stock prices and economic activity. Still, markets care just as much about what the Fed says next as the cut itself. Stock futures dipped ahead of the meeting, showing investors are nervous about the Fed’s message as well as the size of the cut. Dow Jones futures fell as the Fed decision loomed, highlighting how sensitive prices are to policy changes. Crypto markets also held firm, suggesting traders think lower rates could keep risk-taking alive. Bitcoin and major altcoins stayed elevated ahead of the projected cut, which often happens when investors expect easier money. If the Fed looks worried about jobs, investors may see that as a warning sign about growth. Bond yields and the U.S. dollar could move quickly if the Fed hints at more cuts or a pause. Overall, this decision sets the tone for how markets price risk going into 2026.

What’s next: The key thing to watch is the Fed’s outlook for the next few meetings, not just today’s cut. Markets will read the updated dot plot and Chair’s remarks for clues about whether cuts continue into early 2026. There are several narratives investors are following on Fed “D-Day”, including how officials weigh slowing inflation versus softer hiring. Global markets are also reacting in real time, especially in Asia, which often trades first after U.S. policy news. Asian benchmarks were mostly lower ahead of the expected U.S. cut, showing some caution overseas. After the decision, watch how stocks, bonds, and the dollar settle over the next 24–48 hours. Any surprise in the wording could cause bigger swings than the cut itself. Finally, upcoming U.S. data on inflation and jobs will either support the Fed’s path or force it to rethink.

• Why markets can swing even if the cut itself is already expected. – Barrons
• Why independence is suddenly a market issue – Reuters
• When the Fed Cuts: Lessons from Past Cycles for Investors. – Enterprising Investor

🧭 Policy & Market Ripples

• Utility Grid Strain from AI Demand: Exelon CEO Calvin Butler warns of grid breakdowns and soaring utility prices due to AI and electrification, with a 2.4% demand spike projected for 2025. → Fortune
• Small Business Optimism Ticks Up: NFIB’s index rose to 99 in November, driven by sales expectations, though labor quality and inflation remain top pain points for owners. → Fox Business
• JPMorgan Expenses Balloon to $105B: JPMorgan shares slid 5% after forecasting $105B in 2026 expenses tied to AI, growth, and inflation, despite bullish retail sentiment. → Stocktwits

Are You an Accredited Investor?

Discover the 2025 Accredited Investor Playbook—your guide to exclusive pre-IPO and private placement deals. Know the updated qualifications and where to look in this year’s market.

By clicking the link you are subscribing to The Investor Newsletter Daily Newsletter and may receive up to 2 additional free bonus subscriptions. Unsubscribing is easy. Full disclosures found here.